000 03125nam a2200265 4500
001 390945
090 _a390945
100 _a20120521d2009 y0pory50 ba
101 _aeng
200 _aA new mathematical approach to geographic profiling
_fMike O’Leary
210 _a[Maryland]
_ced. do a.
_d2009, 2012
215 _a1 CD-ROM
_d12 cm
300 _aResearch report submitted by Towson University - Dept. of Mathematics to the U.S. Department of Justice - Award ner. 2007-DE-BX-K005. Ficheiro de 4,24 MB em formato PDF (96 p.). Disponível também em: https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/nij/grants/237985.pdf. Acedido a 27 de junho de 2012.
330 _a1 Executive summary. 2 Introduction. 2.1 Statement of the problem. 2.2 Literature. 2.3 Statement of hypothesis. 3 Methods. 3.1 The mathematical model. 3.1.1 Bayesian analysis. 3.1.2 Simple models for offender behavior. 3.1.3 More realistic models for offender behavior. 3.1.4 Future offense prediction. 3.2 Implementing the mathematical model. 3.2.1 Measuring distance. 3.2.2 The distance decay. 3.2.3 Estimating the prior distribution of average offense distances. Tikhonov regularization. 3.2.4 The geographic triangulation. The coarse mesh. Finding the orientation of the coarse mesh’s triangles. Finding the centroids of the coarse mesh’s triangles. Determining the coarse mesh triangle containing a point. Determining the coarse mesh triangle near a point. The fine mesh. Triangular coordinates. Subtriangles with the same orientation as the parent. Subtriangles with the opposite orientation as the parent. Cartesian coordinates. 3.2.5 Evaluating the probability density P(z). 3.2.6 The Normalization function. The tail. The discretization. The two-dimensional midpoint rule. Application to the normalization function. Selecting the mesh. Evaluating I(z, _) as z varies. Evaluating I(z, _) as _ varies. 3.3 Reprise of mathematical assumptions and computational techniques. 3.4 The software. 3.4.1 Overview. 3.4.2 Installing the software. 3.4.3 Using the software. Selecting the crime series. Selecting the historical crime locations. Selecting the historical distances. Selecting the search region. Selecting the offender information. Program results. The analysis. Running time. 3.4.4 Internal structure of the software. Profiler. Using Profiler as a stand-alone program. Compiling Profiler. Brief overview of the Profiler source code. ProfilerGUI. Compiling ProfilerGUI. Brief overview of the ProfilerGUI source code. Integrating Profiler and ProfilerGUI. 4 Results. 4.1 Discussion of findings. 4.2 Implications for policy and practice. 4.3 Implications for further research. Bibliography. Dissemination of research findings. List of supplemental material.
606 _aGEOGRAFIA CRIMINAL
_9329853
606 _aMAPEAMENTO DO CRIME
_9343998
606 _aCOMPORTAMENTO DESVIANTE
_9321365
606 _aMATEMÁTICA
_9233073
606 _aSISTEMA DE INFORMAÇÃO
_9234820
700 _aO'LEARY
_bMike
_9356764
955 _xOferta