02363nam a2200241   4500001000700000010001800007090001100025100004100036101000800077200026600085210005100351215002000402300004900422330134100471606002501812606003401837606002501871606003601896606002701932710003301959955001101992995011802003391595  a9780309278560  a391595  a20130411d2013       y0pory50      ba  aeng  aClimate and social stressbRecurso eletrónicoeimplications for security analysisfCommittee on Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Social and Political Stresses. National Research Council, ed. John D. Steinbruner, ed. Paul C. Stern, ed. Jo L. Husbands  aWashington, DCcNational Academies Pressd2013  a1 CD-ROMd12 cm  aFicheiro de 3,18 MB em formato PDF (252 p.).  a1 Climate change as a national security concern. Potential climate–security connections. Increasing risks of disruptive climate events. The focus of this study. Structure of the report. 2 Climate change, vulnerability, and national security: a conceptual framework. Connections between climate events and national security. Implications of the conceptual framework. Strategies for security analysis. 3 Potentially disruptive climate events. The science of climate projection. Abrupt climate change. Single extreme events. Clusters of extreme events. Sequences of events. Global system shocks. Surprises arising from poorly resolved climate dynamics. Conclusions and recommendations. 4 How climate events can lead to social and political stresses. Local and distant effects. Exposures. Susceptibility to harm from climate events. Coping, response, and recovery. Conclusions and recommendations. 5 Climate events and national security outcomes. Water, food, and health security. Humanitarian crises. Disruptive migration. Severe political instability and state failure. Interstate and intrastate conflict and violence. Conclusions and recommendations. 6 Methods for assessing national security threats. What should be monitored and why. Challenges of monitoring. A strategy for monitoring. An approach to anticipating risks. References.  aMETEOROLOGIA9318451  aSEGURANÇA PÚBLICA9244000  aMETODOLOGIAS9341295  aINFORMAÇÃO CRIMINAL9321297  aESTADOS UNIDOS9334103  aSTEINBRUNERbJohn D.9357034  xOferta  104PJCD_223_00000000000000052022-06-066PJCD2239423677aPJcPJfPJ1CD223_32kPJCD223n2022-06-06o0rMOxOferta