01488nam a2200217   4500001000700000100004100007101000800048200013100056311004000187330076200227461009700989606001601086606003201102606002401134606001901158606002001177606001601197606001601213700001901229701002201248373428  a20080107u           y0pory50      ba  aeng  aGun laws and sudden deathedid the australian firearms legislation of 1996 make a difference?fJeanine Baker, Samara McPhedran  aResumo inserto no próprio artigo.  aMass murders in Dunblane, United Kingdom, and Port Arthur, Australia, provoked rapid responses from the governments of both countries. Major changes to Australian, laws resulted in a controversial buy-back of long arms and tighter legislation in a country with relatively secure borders. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) was used to predict future values of the time series for homicide, suicide and accidental death before and after the 1996 National Firearms Agreement (NFA). When compared with observed values, firearm suicide was the only parameter the NFA may have influenced, although societal factors could also have influenced observed changes. The findings have profound implications for future firearm legislation policy direction.  cOxforddMay 2007vVol. 47, n. 3tBritish Journal of Criminology (The)x0007-0955pp. 455-469  aHOMICÍDIO  aARMA DE FOGO E MUNIÇÕES  aPOLÍTICA CRIMINAL  aLEGISLAÇÃO  aESTUDO DE CASOS  aREINO UNIDO  aAUSTRÁLIA  aBAKERbJeanine  aMcPHEDRANbSamara