01398nam a2200181 4500 20346 20346 20060410u y0pory50 ba eng What can we learn from serious incident reports? This article discusses an examination of 90 Serious Incident Reports (SIRs) generated in the London Probation Area between January 2002 and July 2003. The results showed that offenders assessed as high risk generated a disproportionately high number of SIRs, but equally serious incidents occurred across all risk bands. Consequently, while probation staff were proficient in identifying those most likely to inflict harm, the analysis demonstrates the limitations of risk prediction, and the need for considerable skill and knowledge among staff who work with offenders of all risk bands. Another significant finding was that whereas past violent behaviour was a powerful predictor of future violence, relatively few of those accused of a sexual offence had previous sexual convictions. V.53,n.1 Mar. 2006 p.57-70 Probation Journal London CRIMINOLOGIA RISCO PROBATION PROBATION OFFICER COMPORTAMENTO VIOLENTO CRIME SEXUAL ANSBRO Maria P.105 0 P__105_000000000000000 2021-12-17 23675 DGRSP DGRSP P.105 2021-12-17 0 AP